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Original: 11/7/2006 12:18 PM
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Tuesday, November 07, 2006

Election '06 Morning of Predictions

 Alright...its the morning of...here are my predictions of what will go down today:

National politics:

Top Senate Races:

Bob Casey, Jr. (D) wins Pennsylvania
Sheldon Whitehouse (D) wins Rhode Island
Jon Tester (D) wins Montana
Sherod Brown (D) wins Ohio
Robert Menendez (D) wins New Jersey
Ben Cardin (D) wins Maryland
Joe Lieberman (I) wins Connecticut
Jon Tester (R) wins Missouri
Bob Corker (R) wins Tennessee
George Allen (R) wins Virginia

If things go down that way...Republicans keep the Senate.

The GOP is, however, going to lose the House...there's no question about that...just by how much. I'm going with a 23 seat swing.

CA Politics:

Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) for Governor
John Garamendi (D) for Lt. Governor
Bruce McPherson (R) for Secretary of State
John Chiang (D) for Controller
Bill Lockyer (D) for Treasurer
Jerry Brown (D) for Attorney General
Steve Poizner (R) for Insurance Commissioner

Propositions 1A - 1E (Arnold's rebuilding CA bonds) all pass
Prop 83 (Sex offender restrictions) - passes
Prop 84 (Wetlands and water supply preservation) - fails
Prop 85 (Waiting period for abortions for minors) - passes
Prop 86 (Tax on cigarettes) - fails
Prop 87 (Gas tax for renewable energy research) - fails
Prop 88 (Parcel tax for eduction) - fails
Prop 89 (Corporate tax for public campaign financing) - fails
Prop 90 (Emminent domain/property value compensation) - fails

I'm pretty confident on each of those except 85...a month ago I would have said that 85 will fail...but GOP turnout looks good in CA this year and it is up right now...so I'm going to go against my gut and predict it will pass.

Anyway...I'll post tomorrow and see how much of this I was right about.


Prop 1A-1E all pass


 Posted 11/7/2006 12:18 PM - 21 Views - 0 eProps - 0 comments

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